A darkhorse for TE 1?

Trade talk, top 13 articles/videos, and top 5 player insights

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Here’s what else I got for you tonight:

  • From our friends at Superhuman

  • Trade advice poll

  • 13 articles + videos we loved this week

  • Top 5 player insights

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The results from last newsletter’s trade poll are in. I asked what you thought of this trade submitted by Dave:

Team A receives:

  • Xavier Worthy

Team B receives:

  • Rome Odunze

Survey says… the Rome Odunze side comes out on top.

Here are some additional comments left by the voters from each side:

Team A voters (Worthy):

  • “Worthy should be the next man up while Rice serves the pending suspension. Odunze is in a crowded receiving corp and it's doubtful there will be enough targets to go around.”

Team B voters (Odunze):

  • “Rome has a higher ceiling. Both play in a crowed offense. Rome has the better chance to become a WR1. Like him better overall.”

Fair for both sides voters:

  • “These are both young, talented receivers, each with their own questions. For Worthy, its whether he will be the leader in the room when Rice is back and healthy. For Odunze, his future relies on the Ben Johnson magic touch with Caleb Williams. It's pretty close to a coin flip.”

Our take:

  • I generally do not like to do position-for-position trades straight up like this. Because in theory, a fair 1-for-1 same position deal means you aren’t getting any better. But with an RB for WR trade, for example, you can upgrade at a position you might’ve been weaker at.

  • Our consensus rankings tell the same story. They’re literally right next to each other at WR20 and WR21.

  • Both players have their pros and cons, but I’ll take Odunze since I think he’s got the better shot at being the WR1 for his team.

Today’s contestant…

This trade comes in from your fellow sub, David. Everyone say, “HI DAVID.”

If you’re thinking what I was thinking, the answer is “yes,” we did just go from a Dave trade to a David trade. Big difference.

Team A receives:

  • AJ Brown

  • Rhamondre Stevenson

Team B receives:

  • Chris Olave

  • 27 Late 1st

  • 26 Early 2nd

Which side got the better deal?

(Vote to see live results)

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Want your trade reviewed?

Just reply to this email with any trade completed in your league (or a trade you’re considering) and I’ll add it in a future newsletter. 🤝 

The next open slot in the newsletter is 8/24.

13 articles + videos we loved this week:

Articles:

Podcasts/Videos:

  • The 37-year-old quarterback is currently dealing with a sore back, particularly concerning given his history with back injuries

  • Stafford is expected to spend the first part of training camp working with trainers on the side

  • His health is considered crucial for the Rams offense and the fantasy potential of their receiving weapons

  • Our take: Jimmy Garoppolo is an interesting stash in Superflex leagues in case these back problems linger for Stafford.

  • Despite missing five games and having his lowest rushing/receiving yards since 2017, Ekeler ranked 13th in RB receptions in 2024

  • Led all running backs in yards per reception and was fifth in fantasy points per opportunity last season

  • Posted elite efficiency with 6.5 yards per touch and 5.08 yards created per touch, both NFL-best marks among RBs

  • Could benefit from light defensive fronts when running due to QB Jayden Daniels' mobility threat

  • Currently undervalued at WR28 in ADP, with analysts suggesting he could perform as a WR1/2 in his rookie season

  • Expected to be a volume receiver in an improving Panthers passing offense that ranked 13th in neutral passing rate (Weeks 12-18)

  • Demonstrated strong man coverage performance in college, ranking in the top 10 for yards per route run against man coverage

  • Projected to potentially exceed 80 catches, 1,000 yards, and 6 TDs based on historical performance of top-10 drafted WRs

  • Analysts recommend drafting McMillan ahead of established receivers like Zay Flowers, DeVonta Smith, and DK Metcalf

  • Matthew Golden, a rookie for the Green Bay Packers, is coming off a strong season at Texas with 987 yards (17 yards per catch) and nine touchdowns, leading a loaded offense in receiving.

  • He excelled in big games (over 100 yards vs. Iowa State and Georgia) and posted elite metrics: 83rd percentile in contested catches, 82nd percentile vs. zone, and excellent deep/intermediate route success.

  • Golden is a perfect fit for the Packers’ needs, especially with Christian Watson injured, offering 4.29 speed and a more well-rounded skill set than Watson.

  • The Packers’ WR room was extremely inconsistent last year, with the highest rate of incompletions due to receiver errors (23%), making Golden’s reliability and consistency especially valuable.

  • Currently going as the 95th overall pick (eighth/ninth round), Golden is a high-upside, league-winning type player who could easily deliver 950–1,000 yards and several touchdowns as a rookie in a quality offense with Jordan Love.

  • Tucker Kraft is highlighted as a dark horse candidate to finish as the TE1 overall, with the host noting his significant year-over-year improvement from 2023 to 2024 in points per game, snap share, target share, and receiving yards per game.

  • Kraft was top 10 in reception percentage and second in yards per reception among tight ends in 2024, showing both reliability and big-play ability.

  • He led all tight ends in yards after catch (YAC) per reception at 8.8, more than two yards ahead of the next closest player, making him a unique YAC threat at the position.

  • Kraft was also sixth in receiving touchdowns among tight ends last year, and the host believes the coaching staff will prioritize him with more designed targets in 2025.

  • With uncertainty at wide receiver in Green Bay, the host suggests Kraft could emerge as the dominant target share player in the offense, giving him a real shot at a breakout TE1 season.

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That’s all for today!

See ya pizza,

Joe

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