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- 5 players trending down
5 players trending down
Including Michael Penix, Ashton Jeanty, and more.
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Yooo!
Happy TNF to all who celebrate. Iām trying to manifest a big game for McBride tonight. SEA hasnāt been good against the TE. How about 100+ and a TD? Is that too much to ask for?
Tonight, weāre covering 5 players who have been trending down.
Giddy up.


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If youāre new to Splash Sports, be sure you use this referral code ā S3EWK2 ā and youāll get $10 in credit, too.
*Disclaimer: This $25 survivor pool is hosted on Splash Sports and is subject to their Official Rules and Terms of Service. Must be 18+ (or 21+ where required) and located in a jurisdiction where participation is legal. Please play responsibly. For entertainment purposes only.


QB - Michael Penix Jr. (ATL)
Penix Jr. has shown concerning regression after an initially promising 2025 debut. After passing for 298 yards and two total touchdowns in Week 1, he has delivered back-to-back disappointing performances, culminating in a disastrous Week 3 showing where he completed just 18-of-36 passes for 172 yards with two interceptions in a 30-0 shutout loss.
Through his first two weeks, Penix Jr.'s average depth of target (aDOT) was surprisingly low at 6.8, ranking 23rd among quarterbacks with 50+ dropbacks. This conservative approach is particularly puzzling given his arm strength, and his shallow passing game usage combined with accuracy issues is creating systemic problems for Atlanta's offense.
The quarterback's struggles are having a significant negative impact on the fantasy outlook for Atlanta's passing game weapons. While Bijan Robinson and Kyle Pitts may maintain their value, expectations need to be severely tempered for receivers like Drake London and Darnell Mooney until the Falcons can address their quarterback and offensive issues.
Our take: I owned Kirk Cousins in one dynasty league for 4 years before Penix took over, so Penix isnāt necessarily my favorite player to root for. But I do think heās closer to the Week 1 QB than these past 2 weeks. I would still be patient. Wouldnāt be going out of my way to acquire him, though.
QB - Trevor Lawrence (JAX)
Mentioned in: Podcast: 10 Trends for Week 4
Trevor Lawrence has struggled badly in 2025 with one of the leagueās worst passer ratings in a clean pocket, only ahead of rookies like JJ McCarthy and Michael Penix Jr.
Shockingly, Jacksonvilleās O-line has limited pressureāonly Buffalo has been pressured lessāso this is a Lawrence problem, not protection related.
Receiver drops havenāt helped, but Lawrenceās inefficiency has dragged down the entire Jaguars offense from a fantasy perspective.
Our take: This summary would have me extremely concerned if I were a Lawrence owner. I guess itās still only 3 weeks with a new coach and system, but heās running out of chances to prove himself, in my opinion.
RB - Ashton Jeanty (LV)
Mentioned in: YouTube: Browns RB Quinshon Judkins DOMINATES in Second NFL Start | Week 3 WINNERS and LOSERS!
Ashton Jeanty has stumbled out of the gate, posting 17 carries for 63 yards (3.7 YPC) in Week 3 with zero targets in the passing game.
Despite being drafted as the #1 overall rookie pick in many leagues, Jeanty ranks just RB32 so far and has been outscored by other rookies like Judkins, Hampton, and Dylan Sampson.
Analysts are concerned the Raiders arenāt using Jeanty as a pass catcher, which was supposed to be a defining trait of his skillset.
While long-term optimism remains, his short-term outlook is grim given a new blocking scheme, a bad offensive line, and criticisms that he doesnāt look special at the NFL level.
Our take: I think heāll be fine long-term, but his current situation is holding him back more than expected. Just gotta be patient.
WR - Jerry Jeudy (CLE)
Mentioned in: Fantasy Football Warning Signals for Week 4? Jerry Jeudy, Travis Hunter, Trey Benson, Zach Ertz
Jerry Jeudy leads the Browns with a 15.6% target share, but this is concerning as it represents the lowest team-leading share in the NFL. Through three games, Jeudy has only converted 21 targets into 10 catches for 134 yards, despite Cleveland leading the league in pass rate and ranking third in pace of play.
Jeudy's struggles may be linked to his inability to create separation, as his average cushion of 4.9 yards at the line of scrimmage ranks 18th smallest among measured players. Additionally, he's averaging just two yards of separation when targeted, the thirteenth shortest distance in the league.
Both Jeudy and quarterback Joe Flacco have acknowledged offensive struggles in media interviews, but neither has provided concrete solutions for improvement. Given these factors, Jeudy projects as a borderline WR3/4 for Week 4, with the recommendation to bench him until Cleveland's passing attack shows better results.
Our take: I have him in one redraft league and am benching him until he turns it around. The separation issues have me concerned long-term, tooā¦
WR - Drake London (ATL)
Mentioned in: YouTube: Browns RB Quinshon Judkins DOMINATES in Second NFL Start | Week 3 WINNERS and LOSERS!
Drake London battled through injury to post 5 catches for 55 yards in Week 3, but the Falconsā offense was crushed 30-0 by Carolina.
Michael Penix Jr. looks overwhelmed at QB, bringing down the entire passing game, while Londonās catch rate has dipped to 59% with a negative receiving EPA.
Analysts are calling for Kirk Cousins to replace Penix as Atlantaās starter, believing Londonās WR1 ceiling is unattainable without competent QB play.
After finishing WR5 last season, itās clear London wonāt reach those heights in 2025, though he remains a strong starting option if the Falcons stabilize.
Our take: This feels like an overreaction after just 3 games. Iād buy low where I can. I think heāll be fine regardless of who is at QB.
š¤ Want the latest insight on a player not featured here? Reply to this email with the player youāre interested in, and Iāll send you the newest insight we have on that player + our take on the situation.
Yesterdayās poll results:

š„ Best subscriber comment (Early 2nd): āItās a gamble right now with Hunter. He could be unusable but the Jaguars did invest a lot in getting him. Theyāre gonna make an effort to make it work. Their whole offense is struggling so if that can get on track that could change things by itself.ā
Our take: I was surprised to see people so down on Hunter. My vote wouldāve been late 1st. Iād pay any 2nd for him and bet the talent comes through sooner or later.
Todayās poll:
On a scale of 1-4, how worried are you about the ATL offense?(Vote to see live results) |
Thatās all for today!
See ya pizza,
Joe

P.S. In case you missed it, catch up on our most recent newsletters below:
Early Sept: Our content plan for this season
Monday: Top 5 takeaways from week 3
Tuesday: 5 players trending up
Wednesday: Week 3 risers & fallers
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