Top 5 takeaways from week 12

Featuring Shedeur Sanders, Kenneth Walker III, and more.

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Yooo!

It’s been a wild week 12 with massive performances from Gibbs, JSN, Jameis, and more.

I try not to regurgitate box scores or call out obvious takes in this newsletter.

We know Gibbs and JSN are studs.

We know Jameis will go back to the bench when Dart is healthy.

So with that being said, let’s discuss some of the less obvious takeaways from week 12.

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QB - Shedeur Sanders (CLE)

  • Shedeur Sanders became the first quarterback since 1999 to win his first start as a Cleveland Brown, though the victory was largely driven by a dominant defensive performance that included 10 sacks.

  • His stat line of approximately 200 yards, one touchdown, one interception, and negative one rushing yard was modest, and he did not appear to be the primary reason for the team's success.

  • As a fifth-round pick with limited preseason reps and no first-team practice time, Shedeur Sanders is still very early in his development, making it difficult to project his long-term fantasy value.

  • Some analysts believe his current trade value sits around a second-round pick, but others prefer to hold and see if he can string together strong performances that could elevate his value to a first-round pick, especially given the Browns' uncertain quarterback situation.

  • Our take: Shedeur will start again in Week 13, and if I owned him, I’d be selling for any 2nd. I don’t believe he’s the guy, and I’m okay if that take turns out to be wrong. They also still have Deshaun Watson in the mix. Let it be someone else’s headache.

RB - Kyle Monangai (CHI)

  • Monangai is emerging as a priority in the Bears' offense, outperforming veteran D'Andre Swift by getting the majority of RB touches in Week 12 against the Steelers, where he had 12 touches compared to Swift's 8.

  • The rookie has been consistently productive, scoring a touchdown for the third straight week and finishing with 10.8 fantasy points, marking his fourth double-digit fantasy outing in the past six games.

  • However, Monangai's potential is tempered by the Bears' challenging upcoming schedule, which includes tough matchups against top-half defenses, making him a risky RB2/3 option in most fantasy formats.

  • Our take: It feels like this backfield has gotten to a point where each back is now capping the upside of the other, and I don’t feel comfortable starting either of them. Throw in the tough schedule, and it’s most likely 1 or both of these guys are going to have a low-floor game each week. This week, it was Swift.

WR - George Pickens (DAL)

  • George Pickens has scored 59 combined fantasy points in his last two games and is averaging 20 points per game on the season, ranking second in total points scored and fourth in points per game among wide receivers.

  • He has seen no fewer than nine targets in four straight games and is averaging five more points per game than CeeDee Lamb, making him the best fantasy receiver in Dallas this season.

  • Pickens has already recorded four games this year with at least 130 receiving yards and a touchdown, demonstrating elite alpha receiver ability on the outside and after the catch.

  • At 24 years old and in a contract year, Pickens wrote a piece for the Players' Tribune expressing his love for Dallas and desire to stay, which could keep him paired with a strong quarterback and surrounding talent for fantasy purposes.

  • Our take: The Player’s Tribune piece is interesting. He seems like he’s in a perfect role right now, and the stats are showing that. It’s hard to imagine a better situation for him moving forward. This is also a sneaky good sign for Dak.

RB - Kenneth Walker III (SEA)

  • Kenneth Walker III has shown significant improvement in his performance, reaching 70.0% of Seattle's RB touches - the first time a Seahawks RB has crossed 60% this season. This marks his second consecutive game with over 100 scrimmage yards.

  • Walker has notably enhanced his receiving and red-zone work, increasing his route percentage from 51.6% to 72.7% and seeing a more balanced goal-line touch distribution with Zach Charbonnet. His routes have tied his season high from the previous week.

  • The analyst suggests Walker can be considered a lower-end fantasy RB2 for the rest of the season, with potential to return to his RB1 level of play from 2024. His consistent improvement indicates a positive trajectory for his fantasy value.

  • Our take: The SEA gameplan and touch distribution can change on a whim, but for now, Walker is trending back up. He’s a free agent after this year and would love to see him get a bigger workload somewhere else. Idk how likely that will be, though.

TE - Colston Loveland (CHI)

  • Colston Loveland has emerged as a significant tight end for the Chicago Bears, overtaking Cole Kmet with a 65% snap rate and 68.4% route share in Week 12, demonstrating his growing importance in the team's offensive strategy.

  • In his breakthrough performance, Loveland secured a 14.2% target share, converting it into 49 receiving yards and a touchdown, showing his potential to become a reliable fantasy football option at the tight end position.

  • The article suggests that if Loveland continues to eat away at Kmet's playing time, he could potentially flirt with TE1 production, despite facing challenging upcoming matchups against Philadelphia and Green Bay.

  • Our take: We’re seeing progress. Slowly but surely. As a Loveland owner, I don’t have huge expectations for the rest of the year. I think he can flirt with some low TE1 games, but I’m really just hoping he keeps building momentum and then gets fully unleashed next year. I’d be buying if the owner in your league needs more points now.

That’s all for tonight!

See ya pizza,

Joe

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