WRs vs. Substation

Featuring Mike Evans, De'Zhaun Stribling, and more.

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Yooo!

Only 8 more sleeps until the first game of the NFL regular season!

ICYMI, check out our full sentiment dashboard, updated daily (best viewing experience on desktop). It’s a perfect cheat sheet to have up during your drafts if you need a tiebreaker.

And don’t miss any news leading up to Week 1. Download our mobile app for all the daily insights about your rosters:

In the last newsletter, I asked you all: “Who is your #1 GUY you're targeting this year?”

Best subscriber comments:

  • Jonah Coleman: “I find myself clicking Jonah Coleman late quite frequently. Talent is there and I think Payton really likes him. Good offense too. I think there’s a legit chance he takes over as RB1 there toward end of season”

  • DeVonta Smith: “Was only the 4th WR to win the Heisman, and the first since 1991. He’s been a WR1 before while relegated to being his team’s WR2. Give me DSmith without AJB, and with a new OC who wants to open things up more. I’m even reaching for him.”

  • Chris Godwin: “Taking him late in every single draft, just nothing but immense upside imo. Targeting Jeremiah Love, Parker Washington, Stribling, and Loveland a lot too, but I don't leave a draft without Godwin.”

  • Trevor Lawrence: “I did not plan on targeting Trevor Lawrence, but I have him in every league I've drafted so far because of how far he's dropping. Most recently I got him with the 140th pick in a 1QB 3WR 2RB 2Flex league.”

Our take: I was initially thinking of putting Trevor Lawrence here before I pulled the poll results. That last subscriber comment above is exactly how I feel. I think he could legitimately be the QB1 and is going sooo late. If Lawrence doesn’t fall to me, MY GUY that I’ve been targeting as my late-round QB is the shuckster… Tyler Shough. Check out his blurb in the Quick Hitters section below.

Alright, now let’s get to some news you might’ve missed.

Giddy up.

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Over the last 24 hours, these 5 players have the highest % of their total claims in the Red Flags category (minimum 20 claims):

Player

Red Flags

Christian McCaffrey

21.1%

Chuba Hubbard

15.0%

Bucky Irving

14.8%

MarShawn Lloyd

14.7%

Dalton Kincaid

13.6%

Note: you can now view the entire table in our full sentiment dashboard here (claim categories only visible on desktop).

All article and podcast links go to a summarized Dynasty Pulse page where you can see quick insights and also get the link to the original article/podcast if you want the full content:

Jordan Love (QB, GB): (111 mentions last 7 days): Since 2022 he ranks second in EPA per dropback, but Green Bay has been 25th in neutral pass rate and 32nd in neutral pace over that same span. Analysts say efficiency was never the problem, and note the staff has prioritized playing with more tempo this offseason.

Bo Nix (QB, DEN): (86 mentions last 7 days): Led the NFL in passing attempts last season while owning the fourth-lowest completed air yards among starters, and has averaged 393 rushing yards across his two seasons. Analysts say any improvement in those air yards is notable with a new play caller and Jaylen Waddle added.

Tyler Shough (QB, NO): (50 mentions last 7 days): Over Weeks 12 through 18 last season he ranked 12th in yards per attempt and accurate throw rate and seventh in pass yards per game, while averaging 25 rushing yards per game on a 3.1% touchdown rate against a league average near 4.5%. Analysts call him a QB1 candidate.

Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF): (109 mentions last 7 days): Ranked 35th in explosive run rate, 26th in missed tackle rate and 40th in yards after contact per attempt last season, with only 8.7% of his carries gaining 10 or more yards. Analysts say volume has overwhelmed those numbers, but he is 30 and coming off roughly 450 touches.

Jaylen Warren (RB, PIT): (49 mentions last 7 days): Took 53.8% of Pittsburgh's carries inside the five last season, up from 16% in 2024, on a 54.5% success rate and a 21% missed tackle rate. Analysts say Rico Dowdle stops him from being a true workhorse, but say he does not need that to beat his ADP.

Javonte Williams (RB, DAL): (64 mentions last 7 days): Set career highs with 1,201 rushing yards and 13 total touchdowns, and over the back half of the year his explosive run rate rose from 4.8% to 5.5% and missed tackle rate from 11% to 13%. Analysts say the second-half decline had more to do with touchdowns than effectiveness.

Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET): (80 mentions last 7 days): Had fewer rushing attempts inside the 10 yard line than David Montgomery last season, and Montgomery took more than 50% of Detroit's carries inside the 10 and inside the five. Analysts point out Montgomery is gone and the Lions have the easiest ranked rushing schedule.

Christian Kirk opens the season on injured reserve with a designation to return, ruling him out for San Francisco's first four games

Rather than dig into the impact on Kirk (who I don’t expect to really be fantasy relevant this year), I thought this was a good opportunity to dive into the other SF pass catchers that are healthy:

Mike Evans (ADP 61, WR27)

Sidelined by an adductor injury with Week 1 still in question, keeping his high touchdown ceiling tied to a narrow return timeline. SF hopes he can return to practice early next week; with the opener nine days away, neither practice participation nor game availability is confirmed. His age-33 season, extensive soft-tissue history and repeated quad, groin and lower-body problems have made availability the central threat to an otherwise attractive role in a high-scoring offense. Fantasy opinion splits between valuing his red-zone and target upside at a discounted sixth-round cost and treating his early-sixth-round price as too aggressive before he returns to full practice.

Our take: I would much rather take McLaurin, Odunze, and Jameson Williams who are going in this ADP range. I don’t want to deal with the frustrating injuries.

George Kittle (ADP 82, TE9)

Progress from side work and individual drills to team reps has come without a confirmed rehabilitation setback, giving Kittle a legitimate chance to play the opener; his travel and workload will be decided after the next practices. Seven top-three tight-end finishes in points per game over the last eight seasons support Kittle's fantasy ceiling, but a potentially slow first month remains likely, and his age, Achilles recovery and declining recent efficiency could prevent an immediate return to peak production. Week 1 remains unsettled despite Kittle sounding likely to play if he completes the week positively.

Our take: I don’t love the other TE options going around his range, so I might bite at these prices depending on roster builds and who’s available. Would prefer to draft one of the top TEs instead or wait even later for Likely.

Deebo Samuel (ADP 129, WR51)

Fantasy analysts are sharply divided: some project WR2 or WR3 production from his previous per-game output, manufactured touches and late draft cost, while others expect a tertiary role, a Week 1 finish outside the top 36 and declining usability as younger competition develops. National coverage places him between those extremes, describing a familiar-system auxiliary contributor who may rotate and miss time rather than materially changing San Francisco's offense.

Our take: He might hold some FLEX value but I’d rather chase more upside this late in the draft. Quentin Johnston, Concepcion, Golden, Stribling and Coker are more interesting to me in this range,

De'Zhaun Stribling (ADP 136, WR53)

Consensus and platform ranks have placed Stribling around WR49 to WR60, while individual evaluations have moved him near WR37 and projected a WR24 finish if he becomes the primary receiver. The gap reflects a disagreement over workload: the bullish view treats his preseason role and opportunity as evidence of immediate fantasy value, while the cautious view prices him as a high-upside bench player until the veteran group is fully accounted for.

Our take: Put me in the cautious camp. I like the upside shot if I can get him as my WR4, but not going to reach for him.

Tonight’s Poll:

Which SF pass catcher are you most excited to draft?

(Vote to see live results)

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That’s all for tonight!

See ya pizza,

Joe

P.S. In case you missed it, catch up on our most recent newsletters below: