Chart analysis (Week 6)

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Using data to help predict future performance:

Last week, we looked at which stats actually help predict fantasy points. Here are some charts to keep in mind as you plan for the rest of your season 👇️ 

QUARTERBACKS: Team EPA per play is one of the best indicators of future QB fantasy performance. We want QBs on offenses that are playing well.

• Bo Nix is concerning with how DEN has looked. Maybe Sean Payton calling plays will help turn things around, but that didn’t play out last week.

• ATL’s run game has been great recently, which could lead to more passing TD opportunities for Penix later on.

• Bryce Young’s strong start looks like it has some legs.

RUNNING BACKS: For RBs, expected fantasy points is one of the strongest indicators of future performance. We want players with high xFP (i.e. annybody on the right of the chart).

• Chuba Hubbard is outperforming his xFP more than any other RB. Expect some regression, but his role should still be pretty good with Brooks out.

• Javonte feels perpetually underrated. He has one of the safest RB roles in the league right now. High snap share, great offense.

• Jeanty and Jadarian Price are the two biggest underperformers vs xFP. But Jeanty is the one you want to be buying. He’s showing top-6 potential.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Weighted opportunity is one of the best stats for predicting future WR and TE fantasy performance. We want all the volume and air yards.

• JSN and Puka are in a tier of their own.

• So are BTJ and MHJ… A change of scenery seems like the best case for both of them. We already have the MHJ deal done. Let’s hope BTJ is next.

• Christian Watson and Matthew Golden have looked great in this consolidated, pass-happy offense.

TIGHT ENDS: Weighted opportunity continued…

• Bowers is the TE1 until further notice. McBride and Likely make up a very solid Tier 2.

• Expectations for Pitts and Loveland need to be tempered until something changes. They’re just not seening enough opportunities.

Don’t forget to check out all our other research tools for more trending topics and insights, including:

• The Cheat Sheet:

  • Looking for waiver advice and bye-week fill-ins? Look up any player and read up on their matchup this week.

  • Focused on improving a specific position? Scroll to the bottom of each position’s cheat sheet and check out the top trending conversations.

• The National Pulse: Catch up on all of the most discussed players in the last day.

• Your Daily Pulse: Catch up on all of YOUR most discussed players in the last day.