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20 key matchups (Week 8)
Featuring Stefon Diggs, Baker Mayfield, and more.
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We’re up to 527 podcast episodes and 323 articles analyzed this week.
Get all your start/sit and matchup questions answered in this week’s cheat sheet.
Giddy up.


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10 players in good spots:
QB - Jared Goff vs MIN: 8.6 YPA and +0.38 EPA/dropback when blitzed, 7.7 YPA when not. MIN blitzes on 71.4% of dropbacks, most in the NFL.
QB - Trevor Lawrence vs IND: 8.7 YPA when not blitzed, 6.8 when blitzed. IND blitzes on 21.5% of dropbacks, 2nd-fewest.
RB - Braelon Allen vs LV: 90% of his carries between the tackles, 4th-highest among 39 RBs. LV allows 4.9 YPC inside, 2nd-most.
RB - Kenneth Walker III at DEN: 2.67 YAC per carry, 3rd among 39 RBs. DEN allows 2.47 YAC per carry, most in the NFL.
RB - Rhamondre Stevenson at MIA: 8.5 YPT, 2nd among 17 RBs with 20+ targets. MIA funnels 24.1% of the targets it faces to RBs, most in the NFL, and allows 6.9 YPT to them, 6th-most.
RB - Jaylen Warren vs CLE: 10.8% of his carries go 10+ yards, 13th among 39 RBs. CLE allows a 10+ yard run on 15.9% of RB carries, most in the NFL.
RB - Blake Corum vs LAC: 14.1% of his carries go 10+ yards, 5th among 39 RBs. The Chargers allow a 10+ yard run on 10.8% of RB carries, 8th-most.
WR - Parker Washington vs IND: about half his snaps in the slot. IND allows 2.01 YPRR to the slot, 2nd-most.
WR - Stefon Diggs vs PHI: about 60% of his routes from the slot. PHI allows 108 slot yards per game, 3rd-most.
TE - T.J. Hockenson at DET: 20.9% target share, 4th among 33 TEs. DET funnels 30.0% of the targets it faces to TEs, 2nd-most.
10 players in tough spots:
QB - Sam Darnold vs CHI: 38% completions and 4.6 YPA when pressured (28th and 25th). CHI pressures QBs on 28.1% of dropbacks, 4th-highest.
QB - Baker Mayfield vs ATL: -0.46 EPA/dropback when pressured, 31st of 33 QBs. ATL pressures QBs on 25.4% of dropbacks, 9th-highest.
QB - Kirk Cousins at NYJ: 6.6 YPA vs the blitz, 7.7 without. The Jets blitz on 38.4% of dropbacks, 7th-most.
RB - Jonathan Taylor at JAX: 12.1% of his carries go 10+ yards, 10th among 39 RBs. JAX allows a 10+ yard run on 4.8% of RB carries, 2nd-lowest.
RB - Derrick Henry at BUF: 71% of his carries between the tackles. BUF allows 3.4 YPC inside, 6th-fewest.
RB - D’Andre Swift at SEA: 81% of his carries between the tackles. SEA allows 3.2 YPC inside, 5th-fewest.
RB - Quinshon Judkins at PIT: 80% of his carries between the tackles. PIT allows 3.2 YPC inside, 3rd-fewest.
WR - Luther Burden at SEA: about half his routes from the slot. SEA allows 0.13 fantasy points per route to the slot, 2nd-fewest.
TE - Harold Fannin at PIT: 18.8% target share, 7th among 33 TEs. PIT allows 17.2% of targets to TEs, lowest in the NFL.
TE - Colston Loveland at SEA: 5.8 YPT, 30th of 33 TEs. SEA allows 5.2 YPT to TEs, 2nd-fewest.
Stuck on a start/sit call because of matchups?
Now, you can ask our database any question like this and get an immediate answer sourced from thousands of takes from expert fantasy analysts.
Here’s an example from last week. My friend sent this screenshot. He was deciding whether to start LaPorta or not. Spoiler: LaPorta ended up with 1 catch for 18 yards.
Are you going to get the right answer all of the time? Absolutely not.
Players overperform in tough spots every week.
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That’s all for tonight!
See ya pizza,
Joe

P.S. In case you missed it, catch up on our most recent newsletters below:
10/7/2026 - What actually predicts fantasy points?
10/27/2026 - 20 risers & fallers (Week 8)
10/28/2026 - Chart analysis (Week 8)


