6 risers and fallers (week 13)

Featuring Saquon Barkley, David Montgomery, and more.

In partnership with

šŸˆ-Advertise-|-Website-|-Upgrade to DP+-šŸˆ 

Yooo!

I work in e-commerce for my full-time job, so this weekend (Black Friday Cyber Monday) is my Super Bowl Big Game.

And that also means I’m not leaving you empty-handed without a Black Friday Dynasty Pulse discount. 

So for the next 7 days, get 50% off Dynasty Pulse Premium.

Just in time for the end of the season. 

Now, let’s dive into this week’s risers and fallers.

Giddy up.

Don't wait until New Years to take control of your health.

Every year it’s the same - November comes, the days get dark and cold, you start skipping your morning workout, and you start to lose control of your health habits.

It’s easy to think ā€œI’ll worry about getting back on track next yearā€ - but there’s no reason you can’t get a head start now.

You just need a daily health habit that’s ACTUALLY easy to stick with.


That’s where AG1 comes in. With just one quick scoop every morning, you’ll get over 75 ingredients that help support your immune health, gut health, energy, and close nutrient gaps in your diet.

Right now is the best time to get started - with every new subscription, they are giving away $126 in free gifts for the holidays.

Give AG1 a try today and take back control of your health this holiday season.

šŸ“ˆ RISERS

WR - Jauan Jennings (SF)

+8 spots, 137 OVR, WR49

  • Jauan Jennings has emerged as the leader of San Francisco's wide receivers, maintaining a TPRR above 20% for six consecutive weeks. Despite being started in only 50% of Sleeper leagues, Jennings has shown consistent performance and target share.

  • In the season-to-date TPRR rankings, Jennings has climbed 4 spots to 32nd place with a 20.5% TPRR, solidifying his role in the 49ers' passing attack.

  • While Week 13 presents a tougher challenge, Jennings has demonstrated his ability to maintain a steady target rate and could be a valuable pickup for fantasy managers looking for a reliable receiver.

  • Our take: I would think this bump for Jennings is partly his consistent low-end WR2 play and partly the Aiyuk news with the 49ers voiding his guarantees. Pearsall doesn’t seem to be a major threat either, so I’d expect more of the same for the rest of the year. We have him worth about a 2026 Late 2nd.

QB - Tyler Shough (NOR)

+16 spots, 138 OVR, QB28

  • Tyler Shough is a rookie quarterback for the New Orleans Saints who, despite limited fantasy production so far, shows promising underlying statistics with a 70.0% completion rate and +0.17 EPA/attempt.

  • Shough is set to face the Miami Dolphins, a team with a struggling secondary that ranks bottom-five in multiple defensive metrics, including a 72.9% completion rate allowed and 109.5 opposing passer rating.

  • With Alvin Kamara out and potential abandonment of the run game, Shough could be positioned for a breakout performance, having already demonstrated mobility by taking off seven times in his last game.

  • Our take: Shough is ranked just one spot below Jennings in our rankings. I don’t know if I’d pay the Late 2nd price tag to acquire him, but flipping an older Jennings for Shough seems reasonable if you aren’t contending now. But ultimately, I’m just not that excited about him long-term.

TE - Brenton Strange (JAX)

+19 spots, 153 OVR, TE19

  • Brenton Strange returned from a hip injury in Week 12 with an impressive performance against Arizona, achieving a 70.9% snap share and a 71.4% route share. He capitalized on his increased usage with five receptions for 93 yards.

  • While the article suggests Strange may not replicate this exact performance weekly, his potential remains high, especially in Week 14 against the Colts. Indianapolis has allowed the fifth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to tight ends.

  • Strange's strong showing demonstrates his ability to make the most of favorable matchups, with the article highlighting his significant target share of 16.6% in his recent game and potential for continued productivity.

  • Our take: We’ve seen Strange put up low-end TE1 numbers before, and it’s great to see him get right back in the mix after a 6-week absence. Still at only 24 years old, there’s some upside now and longer term. We have him worth a 2028 Late 2nd, and that feels reasonable.

šŸ“‰ FALLERS

RB - Saquon Barkley (PHI)

-6 spots, 41 OVR, RB11

  • Compared to his exceptional 2024 season where he was the fantasy RB1, Barkley is experiencing a downturn in 2025, averaging 49 fewer scrimmage yards per game and ranking as the RB14 in half-PPR scoring.

  • Barkley is struggling with efficiency, averaging just 3.7 yards per carry overall and 2.8 yards per carry in his last three games, a decline potentially exacerbated by Lane Johnson's injury.

  • He has a potentially favorable Black Friday matchup against the Bears, whose starting linebackers are dealing with injury issues, presenting an opportunity for Barkley to potentially improve his performance.

  • Our take: At this point, Saquon’s struggles seem like they can be mostly attributed to a banged-up offensive line. I’m not a ā€œfilm guy,ā€ but I don’t watch him and get the sense that he’s toast. The ceiling from last year clearly isn’t there right now, but I think he’ll still be in the low-end RB1, high-end RB2 conversation most weeks. We have him ranked right around a 2026 Early 1st, but my guess is you could probably get him for less.

RB - David Montgomery (DET)

-13 spots, 126 OVR, RB29

  • David Montgomery has seen a significant reduction in his role with the Detroit Lions, experiencing only seven and eight touches over the past two weeks and failing to eclipse 40 yards in either game, signaling a clear shift in the backfield dynamics.

  • The emergence of Jahmyr Gibbs has dramatically changed the Lions' running back usage, with Montgomery's touches and impact diminishing despite being part of what was previously considered the most dominant 1-2 punch in the league.

  • Sources close to the Lions facility suggest Montgomery was vocally frustrated about his reduced role, though he remains professional publicly, indicating potential tension surrounding his current usage in the team's offensive scheme.

  • Our take: Speaking of looking toast… maybe it’s the juxtaposition of watching him take carries after Gibbs, but it’s hard to get excited about Montgomery right now. We have him worth a 2028 Mid 2nd, and I’d be happy to sell him for any 2nd. He’s a high-end handcuff.

RB - Rachaad White (TB)

-28 spots, 205 OVR, RB51

  • White's fantasy value is rapidly declining in Tampa Bay, with Sean Tucker emerging as the preferred rushing option and Bucky Irving close to returning from injury.

  • The quarterback situation is also uncertain with Baker Mayfield's Week 12 injury potentially leading to Teddy Bridgewater taking snaps, which could further stifle the offensive outlook for White.

  • The article suggests this is an ideal time for fantasy managers to exit their Rachaad White shares, as his ceiling is diminishing and the backfield clarity is becoming less favorable.

  • Our take: We have White worth a 2026 Mid 3rd. You probably could’ve sold for more a few weeks ago. At this point, I’d hold because he’ll be a free agent after this year and might get a bump in value depending on where he lands. That’d be a better time to sell than now.

That’s all for tonight!

See ya pizza,

Joe

P.S. In case you missed it, catch up on our most recent newsletters and other helpful resources below:

šŸˆ Advertise-|-Website-|-Upgrade to DP+-šŸˆ