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Big kahunas
Featuring Parker Washington, Bucky Irving, and more.
Yooo!
This is the last newsletter issue from Hawaii. The views have been so insane here that they feel fake.


10,000 feet up above the clouds
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As we continue to work on the new site, we have reduced the newsletter cadence to 1x per week for the early part of the offseason.
We’ll increase the newsletter cadence again later in the offseason.
Last week, I asked you all: “Where will DeVonta Smith finish next season in PPR formats?”
45% of you said “WR 7-12”

Best subscriber comments (we had a bunch this week):
WR 7-12: “Already has a great chemistry with Hurts has proven he could be and put up numbers when AJ Brown was out and got more targets”
WR 7-12: “Just have to assume PHI was not happy with how they finished 2025. They will also be eager to show just how much the passing game won’t miss AJB. We should be all in on the former Heisman winner.”
WR 13-18: “The dude's a rock! But I don't trust the Eagles to have everything worked out this year. He woulda scored a lot more points if HE were the one traded to NE!”
WR 13-18: “He could finish in the top 10, but I think he’s closer to a top 15 finish when everything is said and done. The eagles still seem more dedicated to the run between Barkley and Hurts, but the opportunity and targets will be there for him.”
WR 19-24: “He's too slender to handle an alpha workload without the risk to injury. He'll have spike games and a solid floor, but I don't expect him to reach the "alpha" level.”
Our take: I voted WR 7-12. All the concerns listed above are valid. But I’m buying into the fact that he has stepped up as a #1 whenever AJB was out, and I believe him and the entire offense will have something to prove this year. If I were buying, I’d use all the concerns listed above to push his price down.
Alright, now let’s get to some news you might’ve missed this week. We’re covering 5 big names in the fantasy world that have some questions coming into the season.
Giddy up.


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Significant debate exists regarding his 2026 outlook, with many analysts projecting regression from his unsustainable 2025 target share (26%) and touchdown rate.
Concerns center on a potential shift toward a more run-heavy offensive scheme, increased target competition from teammates, and ongoing instability at the quarterback position.
In dynasty leagues, McBride is a high-value asset often selected in the first two rounds of startup drafts. While many experts recommend holding him due to his positional scarcity, some suggest tiering down to younger prospects like Brock Bowers or Colston Loveland to capitalize on his peak market value.
Our take: I’ve had McBride since his rookie year. Last year was magical. But I’m tempering my expectations for this year. Tiering down feels like the right play, but I’m not going to sell short. It has to be the RIGHT package.
Reports from minicamp indicate the coaching staff is expanding his route tree, building on the 25-30% target share he commanded during the final stretch of his rookie year.
His late-season usage surged significantly, with analysts highlighting a four-game stretch where he averaged 12 targets and 94.5 receiving yards, signaling his emergence as a primary offensive weapon.
While target competition exists within a crowded Chicago receiving corps, the departure of D.J. Moore is expected to consolidate target volume, further cementing Loveland's role as a focal point.
Our take: If I tiered down from McBride, Loveland would be my top choice. And Fannin would be another tier below him. I expect Odunze, Burden, and Loveland to all be productive assets.
He is currently negotiating a potential contract extension, with reports suggesting a three-year deal in the $55 million range as the team views him as a core offensive piece.
While he is primarily utilized in the slot, he demonstrated versatility by playing 56% of his snaps outside last season, and the coaching staff plans to further diversify his route tree in 2026.
His fantasy outlook is debated due to a crowded receiver room featuring Brian Thomas Jr., Jakobi Meyers, and Travis Hunter, alongside a team shift toward heavier 12 and 13 personnel packages.
Our take: I’m hesitant to fully buy into guys like him who seemingly explode out of nowhere. But maybe his slow start to his career was more of a product of poor offensive coaching than talent. It’s kind of a similar story for Trevor Lawrence.
The team has aggressively added receiving depth, including Omar Cooper Jr., Adonai Mitchell, and Kenyon Sadiq, to alleviate defensive focus on Wilson.
While this increased competition may stabilize his total target volume, analysts expect his efficiency to improve as he operates in a more flexible, player-empowering scheme under Frank Reich.
Wilson is building chemistry with Geno Smith, with reports from offseason workouts indicating a strong rapport. This transition to a veteran signal-caller is viewed as a significant upgrade that could provide the most stable passing environment of his career.
Our take: This might be the last time to buy low on Wilson. I’m willing to take that shot.
Bucky Irving continues to recover from offseason shoulder surgery. While he has been limited during OTAs, the team expects him to be a full participant by the start of training camp.
The Buccaneers have shifted toward a committee approach, adding Kenneth Gainwell and retaining Sean Tucker, which threatens Irving's volume and goal-line opportunities; he recorded zero carries inside the 5-yard line last season.
Efficiency metrics regressed significantly in 2025, with his yards per carry dropping to 3.4 and his rushing success rate falling, though analysts attribute this decline partly to playing through foot and shoulder injuries and poor offensive line performance.
Our take: Will share my thoughts in next week’s poll breakdown. Vote below 👇️
Where will Bucky Irving finish next year? (PPR)(Vote to see live results) |
That’s all for tonight!
See ya pizza,
Joe

P.S. In case you missed it, catch up on our most recent newsletters below:
5/6/2026 - Bargain bin
5/13/2026 - Rome wasn't built in a day
5/20/2026 - Headaches
5/27/2026 - Turning point
6/3/2026 - Going mobile

