5 guys with question marks

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Shouting out some great content in the industry:

• Fantasy Life: How Much Does The NFL Draft Combine Matter For Fantasy Football? A Deep Dive Into The Historical Data

• Rotoballer: 2026 NFL Scouting Combine Preview: 5 Fantasy Football Sleepers to Watch

• Fantasy Pros: 4 Dynasty Players to Trade Before NFL Free Agency (2026)

• Football Guys: Javonte Williams Fantasy Fallout After He Signs With Dallas Cowboys

• Draft Sharks: Omar Cooper Jr. Dynasty Value: Film Star With Analytical Speed Bumps

QB - Ty Simpson (Rookie)

Mentioned in: 2026 NFL Draft Rumors: Is The NFL Sold On Fernando Mendoza?

• Ty Simpson, the Alabama quarterback, is facing a significant draft stock decline as evaluators have begun to question his first-round viability. ESPN's Matt Miller stated that Simpson doesn't have a Round 1 grade on his board and that he couldn't find a single team that would give Simpson a first-round grade during conversations at the Senior Bowl, a stark assessment that contradicts many mock drafts still projecting him in Round 1.

• Despite a solid first year as a starter, Simpson's profile contains multiple concerning factors that explain the downgrade in draft evaluation. In his first year starting, he posted 3,567 yards, 28 touchdowns, and five interceptions on a 64.5% completion rate with 90-93-2 rushing in 15 starts, but he didn't earn the starting job until he was a redshirt junior, and he'll be 24 years old as an NFL rookie—concerning given that two different coaching staffs named Jalen Milroe the starter over him in the 2023-24 seasons.

• Simpson's physical and performance limitations further support the assessment that he is not a first-round prospect. He has only modest size at 6-2 and 208 pounds, possesses almost nonexistent rushing ability, average arm strength, and his accuracy, judgment, and technique disappear under pressure. Additionally, his play deteriorated significantly in the second half of the season, posting a 6.5 AY/A in Games 8-15 compared to 10.3 in Games 1-7, suggesting he is more appropriately a Day 2 selection rather than a first-rounder.

• Our take: The only game I watched him in this year was when they got dismantled by Indiana in the CFP. Haven’t seen much positive news for Ty since then. I don’t know if landing spot could change my mind, but right now, I’m avoiding.

RB - Tyler Allgeier (FA)

Mentioned in: 5 Dynasty Fantasy Football Running Back Buys: Trade Targets (2026)

• Tyler Allgeier is entering free agency after four solid seasons in Atlanta, and outside of his rookie season, he has not exactly been a usable fantasy asset. However, he is talented, and given his solid production when called upon, he is rostered in most leagues as an insurance policy, meaning that you will have to trade for him.

• Allgeier seems unlikely to get a backfield to himself in free agency, but what if he lands with a team such as the Jets or Commanders? In those cases, Allgeier would likely lead a committee at a minimum, with the potential for a feature back role, which would significantly increase his fantasy value.

• Allgeier profiles as a player who could score plenty of touchdowns and deliver solid efficiency on the ground, as he was already able to score eight touchdowns in 2025 despite Bijan Robinson scoring seven of his own. With Allgeier being such an afterthought, he should be very cheap to acquire in dynasty, but you will want to make your offers before free agency, as his price will go up if he signs in a great situation.

• Our take: My approach to Allgeier is simple. Wherever he goes, he’s going to have less competition than he had vs. Bijan. For RB-needy dynasty teams, he’s an interesting gamble. His dynasty value has a good chance of going up, and he shouldn’t cost a ton to acquire.

WR - Jalen McMillan - (TB)

Mentioned in: 4 Post-Hype Dynasty Sleepers (2026 Fantasy Football)

• Jalen McMillan is a wide receiver for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who has gone under the radar somewhat despite solid production, particularly in the second half of his rookie season. From Week 8 onwards, McMillan averaged 48.4 yards per game and was the PPR WR25 with 14.4 points per game, establishing himself as a reliable option for Baker Mayfield with a 73.8% catch rate despite an average depth of target of 12.5 yards.

• McMillan's 2025 season was severely hampered by a neck injury suffered in the preseason where he fractured three vertebrae and was almost paralyzed, but he made a full recovery and came back late in the season catching 12 of his 15 targets for 178 yards. This injury context is important for understanding why his overall season statistics don't fully reflect his potential, and his return to health is a significant positive development.

• In his rookie season, only three other wide receivers had a catch rate higher than McMillan's 73.8% while also having an aDOT in the double-digits, and he tied for fifth among wide receivers from Week 8 onwards with seven touchdowns. With the Buccaneers potentially heading for a mutual separation with Mike Evans after 12 years and able to get out of Chris Godwin's contract fairly easily, McMillan could be a beneficiary if the team resets their offense, positioning him as a potential breakout candidate in 2026.

• Our take: Right now, McMillan is the 4th WR everyone thinks of when they talk about TB. But he could easily push for the WR2 spot as soon as this upcoming season. Egbuka’s fall-off was concerning, but I still think he’d be the #1. Still, we’ve seen this offense support 2 high-end WRs. You could get Jalen for a fraction of the cost (maybe even a 3rd rounder).

TE - Ben Sinnott (WAS)

Mentioned in: Using Historical NFL Combine Data To Find 2026 Dynasty Fantasy Football Buys

• Ben Sinnott was selected by the Washington Commanders with a second-round pick in 2024 but has received minimal offensive involvement, being thrown the ball just 18 times across 33 games over his first two seasons, which raises questions about whether this reflects poorly on Sinnott's abilities or simply indicates the Commanders haven't found a way to integrate him into the offense.

• Sinnott's combine performance demonstrates he possesses the athletic tools to succeed at the tight end position, as he topped his position group in both vertical jump and broad jump while finishing third in the 20-yard shuttle, establishing him as an above-average athlete with strong draft capital for the position.

• With veteran Zach Ertz now a free agent after suffering a torn ACL and being old, Sinnott is positioned to finally break out in Year 3 on a productive Commanders offense led by young quarterback Jayden Daniels, making him a worthwhile trade target before Ertz is released and the hype train inevitably builds around Sinnott's opportunity.

• Our take: I’ve been high on him since he entered the league, and now I think he finally gets his shot. We should know pretty early in the season whether this breakout has any legs or not. Worth a shot for a 3rd rounder.

WR - Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI)

Mentioned in: Dynasty Fantasy Football Sells - Trade Targets, Avoids (2026)

• Two years into Marvin Harrison Jr.'s career, he has not shown the high-end potential he demonstrated coming out of college, looking unconfident and uninterested at times in Arizona. While some of his struggles may stem from coaching staff issues, Harrison needs to consistently find space and hold onto easy passes, and if he is average once again in Year 3, his draft capital value will evaporate.

• Much of Marvin Harrison Jr.'s struggles have potentially stemmed from a lack of chemistry with quarterback Kyler Murray, and while Murray may not be on the roster next year, this leaves significant uncertainty surrounding the quarterback position and whether the situation will improve or worsen. The emergence of fellow wideout Michael Wilson, who was a legitimate fantasy WR1 down the stretch of 2025, means the new Cardinals coaching staff cannot ignore Wilson's production and will likely make him a heavy competitor for targets.

• With the Cardinals also featuring excellent tight end Trey McBride, the offensive targets will be spread thin, further limiting Harrison's upside going forward. Rather than watch Harrison's value continue to decrease, it would be better to trade him away and get something in return, even though it may feel difficult given that he was likely a No. 1 pick in rookie drafts.

• Our take: If I were an MHJ owner, I’d probably try to deal him before ARI figures out what they’re doing at QB. The negatives outweigh the positives in my mind when it comes to MHJ’s outlook. Could he turn things around in year 3 and take the next step? Sure. But the target competition, QB uncertainty, and lack of elite production are scaring me off. I wouldn’t sell just to sell, but I would sell if someone in my league was still treating him as a top 12-15 WR.

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